NATO: The alliance that should have been dissolved
NATO backing the Ukrainian military is about as sensible as Russia's support for paramilitary forces
By
Ian Klinke
Ian Klinke is a researcher at the University of Oxford.
Story highlights
Russia's disrespect for Ukrainian sovereignty has captivated the Western media for months. The focus on Moscow's bullish behavior has, however, obscured both NATO's recent attempts of joining the Ukrainian proxy war and its long-term strategy of Eastern expansion. The upcoming summit in Wales is only the most recent reminder that NATO should have been disbanded long ago.
Western journalists and think tankers are increasingly telling us that Russia is re-creating a bipolar order in Europe. The Kremlin's support for separatists in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine has sparked accusations that Russia is breathing new life into a confrontation that Europe thought to have overcome 25 years ago. Yet, while both the 2008 Russo-Georgian war and the Kremlin's involvement in the 2014 Ukrainian civil war show that Russia
Russia's disrespect for Ukrainian sovereignty has captivated the Western media for months. The focus on Moscow's bullish behaviour has, however, obscured both NATO's recent attempts of joining the Ukrainian proxy war and its long-term strategy of Eastern expansion. The upcoming summit in Wales is only the most recent reminder that NATO should have been disbanded long ago.
Western journalists and think tankers are increasingly telling us that Russia is re-creating a bipolar order in Europe. The Kremlin's support for separatists in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine has sparked accusations that Russia is breathing new life into a confrontation that Europe thought to have overcome 25 years ago. Yet, while both the 2008 Russo-Georgian war and the Kremlin's involvement in the 2014 Ukrainian civil war show that Russia is an important source of regional instability, it is not the only one. Western commentators often reduce NATO's involvement in Ukraine to that of a passive bystander, but such a view is highly misleading.
Over the last months, the alliance has sent fighter planes to Eastern Europe and increased its naval presence in the Black and Baltic Seas. NATO has unilaterally suspended its military and civilian cooperation with Russia and its deputy secretary general has downgraded Russia from "partner" to "more of an adversary". Most controversially, NATO is wrapping up an aid package to modernise the Ukrainian army and is therefore fast becoming, like Russia, an active party in the Ukrainian civil war.
Inside Story - What are Russia's plans for eastern Ukraine?
While NATO has so far been careful not to pass heavy armoury to Kiev, the alliance has neither ruled out individual members from sending such weapons nor from participating in military exercises on Ukrainian soil - even during the ongoing war. Grateful for such allegiance, Kiev has recently decorated NATO's outgoing Secretary General Anders Rasmussen with the Order of Liberty, Ukraine's highest award for foreign nationals. In return, Ukraine's President Poroshenko has received the honour of being invited to NATO's September summit in Wales as the only non-NATO head of state.
This week's much-awaited summit in Wales could bring a decisive boost to the North Atlantic alliance's new proxy war. Already, the secretary general has announced his intention to beef up NATO's rapid response force and to encourage increased military spending throughout the alliance. He has also called for permanent military bases to be installed in NATO's Eastern members. The alliance has been careful not to call such bases "permanent" because they would breach a 1997 promise to Russia, but they will send an unambiguous signal to the Kremlin nevertheless. "The point is that any potential aggressor should know that if they were to even think of an attack against a NATO ally," Rasmussen recently explained, "they will meet NATO troops."
Beating the war drum
The most significant source of support for the new line comes from NATO's most powerful member. In early June, Washington announced a $1bn fund to bolster the wider US military presence in Europe. US President and Nobel Peace Prize laureate Barack Obama has promised Poland and other Eastern European NATO members "unbreakable commitments", backed both by "the strongest alliance in the world" and "the most powerful military in history".
But it is not just Washington that is beating the war drum. Today, politicians like Poland's Radek Sikorski, Lithuania's Dalia Grybauskaite or Estonia's Toomas Hendrik Ilves are pursuing a similar line. The very states that were eager to host the controversial Missile Defence Shield in the 2000s are now lobbying for permanent military bases on their territory. Even Germany, sometimes considered a lethargic member of NATO, has stocked up troops in the Polish headquarters of the Multinational Corps North East, a facility concerned with the defence of NATO's Eastern territorial border.
While these recent events have often been read as mere reactions to Russia's imperial reflexes, it is important not to divorce them from their historical context. A crucial key to NATO's current investment in Ukraine is the alliance's longstanding identity crisis. Unlike the Warsaw Pact, which was disbanded in 1991, the North Atlantic alliance has survived the end of the Cold War. It has had to legitimate its further institutional existence in two distinct if rather contradictory ways.
Firstly, it replaced its Cold War policy of "forward defence" with that of "forward presence" (non-linear defence lines, scattered across the globe). This new mission was powerfully demonstrated by a number of "out of area" wars against Serbia in 1999, Afghanistan in 2001 and Libya in 2011, but also by combating pirates off the Horn of Africa. Given the fiasco in Afghanistan, this strategy is now widely considered to have failed.
NATO: Russia supplying Ukraine rebels tanks
Secondly, it embarked on an ambitious enlargement agenda to Eastern Europe that saw the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland enter the alliance in 1999. Bulgaria, Romania, Slovenia and Slovakia and the three Baltic states followed in 2004 as well as Croatia and Albania in 2009. NATO has furthermore developed close ties with a number of post-Soviet republics, particularly with Georgia and Ukraine, both of which have in the past declared an interest in joining the alliance.
NATO has held military exercises with these states and recently reiterated its continued support for Georgia's plans to gain NATO membership. Tbilisi now builds units according to NATO standards so as to ensure interoperability in the future. It is this policy of regional involvement that is directly at odds with the alliance's global mission. Indeed, it has helped to re-create the very linear defence line it claims to have abandoned in the early 1990s, but now further to the East.
In response to such allegations, NATO has held that its expansion to the former Warsaw Pact and its flirtation with the post-Soviet republics was never directed against Moscow, but merely an attempt to stabilise democratic transitions in these states. Russia has never quite believed that version of events, reminding the alliance that its most powerful member state once gave Russia an informal promise that NATO would not expand eastwards.
Perhaps more interestingly, NATO's new members were also never fully committed to the story that NATO enlargement had nothing to do with Russia. It should be remembered that it was anti-Soviet politicians like Poland's Lech Walesa and the Czech Republic's Vaclav Havel who originally lobbied for their countries to join NATO.
What should have been done 25 years ago
In the run up to the September summit it seems as if NATO's 25-year identity crisis might finally have been resolved. As the US Secretary of State John Kerry has recently put it, the war in Ukraine has called NATO "back to the role that this alliance was originally created to perform". As both NATO and Russia seem to be using the current Ukrainian crisis to re-enact their Cold War roles, a debate on the alliance's purpose is more than timely.
Today's critics of NATO frequently face charges of Kremlin apologism, quite in the same way that the anti-nuclear and peace protestors were ritually accused of being Soviet puppets during the Cold War. Yet, to take a critical stance on NATO does not mean to embrace Putin.
Unlike what some commentators have argued, we do not need more understanding for a nationalist, militarist and autocrat whose new Eastern Monroe doctrine is destabilising Eastern Europe while isolating his country. Instead, we need a better grasp of NATO and its drive to further militarise of Eastern Europe. This alliance is currently aiding a nationalist regime that did very little to diffuse its ethnic tensions in the aftermath of the Ukrainian revolution and that is now shelling its own citizens. Backing the Ukrainian military is about as sensible as Russia's support for paramilitary forces in Eastern Ukraine.
The only reasonable response to the current crisis is a radical rethinking of European security that starts with the realisation that the continent has two problems: Russia and NATO. The West cannot disband Russia, but it can finally start a process that it should have started in 1991: the dissolution of its antiquated military alliance.
This solution is admittedly counter-intuitive in the light of Russia's current assertiveness, but it is ultimately the only sane step towards a more peaceful continent. Perhaps it is important to remember that it was the Soviet Union under Gorbachev and not the West that called off the Cold War. Interestingly, this happened at a time when Washington was excessively funding terrorist paramilitaries and freedom fighters around the world while showing very little respect for the sovereignty of certain Latin American neighbours.
Ian Klinke is a researcher at the University of Oxford.
Source: Al Jazeera
Russia's disrespect for Ukrainian sovereignty has captivated the Western media for months. The focus on Moscow's bullish behavior has, however, obscured both NATO's recent attempts of joining the Ukrainian proxy war and its long-term strategy of Eastern expansion. The upcoming summit in Wales is only the most recent reminder that NATO should have been disbanded long ago.
Western journalists and think tankers are increasingly telling us that Russia is re-creating a bipolar order in Europe. The Kremlin's support for separatists in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine has sparked accusations that Russia is breathing new life into a confrontation that Europe thought to have overcome 25 years ago. Yet, while both the 2008 Russo-Georgian war and the Kremlin's involvement in the 2014 Ukrainian civil war show that Russia
Russia's disrespect for Ukrainian sovereignty has captivated the Western media for months. The focus on Moscow's bullish behaviour has, however, obscured both NATO's recent attempts of joining the Ukrainian proxy war and its long-term strategy of Eastern expansion. The upcoming summit in Wales is only the most recent reminder that NATO should have been disbanded long ago.Western journalists and think tankers are increasingly telling us that Russia is re-creating a bipolar order in Europe. The Kremlin's support for separatists in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine has sparked accusations that Russia is breathing new life into a confrontation that Europe thought to have overcome 25 years ago. Yet, while both the 2008 Russo-Georgian war and the Kremlin's involvement in the 2014 Ukrainian civil war show that Russia
Western journalists and think tankers are increasingly telling us that Russia is re-creating a bipolar order in Europe. The Kremlin's support for separatists in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine has sparked accusations that Russia is breathing new life into a confrontation that Europe thought to have overcome 25 years ago. Yet, while both the 2008 Russo-Georgian war and the Kremlin's involvement in the 2014 Ukrainian civil war show that Russia is an important source of regional instability, it is not the only one. Western commentators often reduce NATO's involvement in Ukraine to that of a passive bystander, but such a view is highly misleading.
Over the last months, the alliance has sent fighter planes to Eastern Europe and increased its naval presence in the Black and Baltic Seas. NATO has unilaterally suspended its military and civilian cooperation with Russia and its deputy secretary general has downgraded Russia from "partner" to "more of an adversary". Most controversially, NATO is wrapping up an aid package to modernise the Ukrainian army and is therefore fast becoming, like Russia, an active party in the Ukrainian civil war.
Inside Story - What are Russia's plans for eastern Ukraine? |
This week's much-awaited summit in Wales could bring a decisive boost to the North Atlantic alliance's new proxy war. Already, the secretary general has announced his intention to beef up NATO's rapid response force and to encourage increased military spending throughout the alliance. He has also called for permanent military bases to be installed in NATO's Eastern members. The alliance has been careful not to call such bases "permanent" because they would breach a 1997 promise to Russia, but they will send an unambiguous signal to the Kremlin nevertheless. "The point is that any potential aggressor should know that if they were to even think of an attack against a NATO ally," Rasmussen recently explained, "they will meet NATO troops."
Beating the war drum
The most significant source of support for the new line comes from NATO's most powerful member. In early June, Washington announced a $1bn fund to bolster the wider US military presence in Europe. US President and Nobel Peace Prize laureate Barack Obama has promised Poland and other Eastern European NATO members "unbreakable commitments", backed both by "the strongest alliance in the world" and "the most powerful military in history".
But it is not just Washington that is beating the war drum. Today, politicians like Poland's Radek Sikorski, Lithuania's Dalia Grybauskaite or Estonia's Toomas Hendrik Ilves are pursuing a similar line. The very states that were eager to host the controversial Missile Defence Shield in the 2000s are now lobbying for permanent military bases on their territory. Even Germany, sometimes considered a lethargic member of NATO, has stocked up troops in the Polish headquarters of the Multinational Corps North East, a facility concerned with the defence of NATO's Eastern territorial border.
While these recent events have often been read as mere reactions to Russia's imperial reflexes, it is important not to divorce them from their historical context. A crucial key to NATO's current investment in Ukraine is the alliance's longstanding identity crisis. Unlike the Warsaw Pact, which was disbanded in 1991, the North Atlantic alliance has survived the end of the Cold War. It has had to legitimate its further institutional existence in two distinct if rather contradictory ways.
Firstly, it replaced its Cold War policy of "forward defence" with that of "forward presence" (non-linear defence lines, scattered across the globe). This new mission was powerfully demonstrated by a number of "out of area" wars against Serbia in 1999, Afghanistan in 2001 and Libya in 2011, but also by combating pirates off the Horn of Africa. Given the fiasco in Afghanistan, this strategy is now widely considered to have failed.
NATO: Russia supplying Ukraine rebels tanks |
NATO has held military exercises with these states and recently reiterated its continued support for Georgia's plans to gain NATO membership. Tbilisi now builds units according to NATO standards so as to ensure interoperability in the future. It is this policy of regional involvement that is directly at odds with the alliance's global mission. Indeed, it has helped to re-create the very linear defence line it claims to have abandoned in the early 1990s, but now further to the East.
In response to such allegations, NATO has held that its expansion to the former Warsaw Pact and its flirtation with the post-Soviet republics was never directed against Moscow, but merely an attempt to stabilise democratic transitions in these states. Russia has never quite believed that version of events, reminding the alliance that its most powerful member state once gave Russia an informal promise that NATO would not expand eastwards.
Perhaps more interestingly, NATO's new members were also never fully committed to the story that NATO enlargement had nothing to do with Russia. It should be remembered that it was anti-Soviet politicians like Poland's Lech Walesa and the Czech Republic's Vaclav Havel who originally lobbied for their countries to join NATO.
What should have been done 25 years ago
In the run up to the September summit it seems as if NATO's 25-year identity crisis might finally have been resolved. As the US Secretary of State John Kerry has recently put it, the war in Ukraine has called NATO "back to the role that this alliance was originally created to perform". As both NATO and Russia seem to be using the current Ukrainian crisis to re-enact their Cold War roles, a debate on the alliance's purpose is more than timely.
Today's critics of NATO frequently face charges of Kremlin apologism, quite in the same way that the anti-nuclear and peace protestors were ritually accused of being Soviet puppets during the Cold War. Yet, to take a critical stance on NATO does not mean to embrace Putin.
Unlike what some commentators have argued, we do not need more understanding for a nationalist, militarist and autocrat whose new Eastern Monroe doctrine is destabilising Eastern Europe while isolating his country. Instead, we need a better grasp of NATO and its drive to further militarise of Eastern Europe. This alliance is currently aiding a nationalist regime that did very little to diffuse its ethnic tensions in the aftermath of the Ukrainian revolution and that is now shelling its own citizens. Backing the Ukrainian military is about as sensible as Russia's support for paramilitary forces in Eastern Ukraine.
The only reasonable response to the current crisis is a radical rethinking of European security that starts with the realisation that the continent has two problems: Russia and NATO. The West cannot disband Russia, but it can finally start a process that it should have started in 1991: the dissolution of its antiquated military alliance.
This solution is admittedly counter-intuitive in the light of Russia's current assertiveness, but it is ultimately the only sane step towards a more peaceful continent. Perhaps it is important to remember that it was the Soviet Union under Gorbachev and not the West that called off the Cold War. Interestingly, this happened at a time when Washington was excessively funding terrorist paramilitaries and freedom fighters around the world while showing very little respect for the sovereignty of certain Latin American neighbours.
Ian Klinke is a researcher at the University of Oxford.
Source: Al Jazeera
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STOP YOUR WAR AND HATE AND PUTTING OUR TROOPS AT RISK...... it's time for peace, humanity and children and happy and environment....... come on!!! try it !!!
STOP YOUR WAR AND HATE AND PUTTING OUR TROOPS AT RISK...... it's time for peace, humanity and children and happy and environment....... come on!!! try it !!!
CANADA- ON TARGET: NATO troops in Baltic could provoke Russia
All the old warhorses in Ottawa are abuzz over the fact that NATO has apparently singled out Canada to provide troops for a new deterrent force in Eastern Europe.
According to media reports, NATO officials are looking for Canada to deploy about 1,000 combat soldiers to a base in Latvia on a permanent basis. These Canadian soldiers would be part of a joint German, British and U.S. Baltic deployment totalling 4,000 troops.
The more hawkish pundits breathlessly refer to the Baltic States — Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia — as NATO’s eastern “flank” (rather than using the words border or boundary), implying that a war with Russia is already underway.
Since April 2014, Canada has been sporadically deploying small contingents of combat troops to Eastern Europe for brief training exercises. These rotating missions were part of Canada’s contribution to NATO’s Operation Reassurance, which was triggered by Russia’s annexation of the Crimea and the severe unrest in Eastern Ukraine.
At that juncture, the Chicken Littles were convinced that Russian President Vladimir Putin had begun his quest for world domination, and NATO needed to rush men to the ramparts of Fortress Europe. Our little combat contingents, usually not more than 200 soldiers at a time, have since then dutifully conducted training operations in Poland and the Baltic.
Thankfully, the sky has not fallen. Putin’s annexation of the Crimea followed a bloodless occupation and a referendum wherein 96.77 per cent of the population chose to join Russia rather than remain a part of the internally collapsing Ukraine.
In truly hypocritical fashion, then U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton denounced the Crimea referendum as a sham and burbled, “You can’t just redraw the map of Europe.” This would be the same Hilary Clinton whose presidential hubby Bill led 1999’s 78-day NATO bombing campaign against Serbia in order to create an independent Kosovo. That bloody intervention cost the lives of thousands of Serbian and Albanian citizens, and when Kosovo did proclaim unilateral independence in 2007, it was done without any referendum.
Two years after Russia’s annexation, more than 80 per cent of Crimean poll respondents reported that they remain happy with their decision to secede from Ukraine.
In contrast, nine years after Kosovo’s declared independence and 17 years after the NATO intervention, residents are voting with their feet: Considered the poorest and most corrupt country in Europe, tens of thousands of Kosovars out of a population of less than two million have joined the mobs of migrants seeking a better life in Western Europe.
Furthermore, Putin’s land grab in the Crimea was something of a strategic necessity given the February 2014 overthrow of President Viktor Yanukovych in Kiev and the subsequent civil unrest across Ukraine. The Crimea was historically Russian and even after Ukraine separated from the Soviet Union in 1991, the Russian Black Sea Fleet continued to lease from Ukraine its navy base in Sevastopol. The current lease was not due to expire until 2040, but Putin could not risk a pro-Western regime in Kiev threatening his fleet’s expulsion.
In the subsequent interval, Putin has made no further claims on additional Ukrainian territory. He has not annexed the rebellious pro-Russian eastern provinces and Russian foreign policy remains committed to the breakaway, self-declared independent republics of Donetsk and Luhansk remaining within a Ukrainian federation — albeit with increased autonomy.
Also, against all predictions by those longing for a good old Cold War-style showdown with the Russkies, the Minsk II ceasefire agreement continues to hold, with only occasional minor infractions by both sides.
For NATO to move 4,000 combat troops right up to Russia’s Baltic borders at this moment has to be seen as a deliberate provocation of Russia, just as things seem to be stabilizing. The Colonel Blimp Brigade may be bulging with pride that Canada was asked to contribute to this force, but maybe a better question would be why are the other European NATO members staying away in droves?
Scott Taylor is editor of Esprit de Corps magazine.
http://thechronicleherald.ca/opinion/1371837-on-target-nato-troops-in-baltic-could-provoke-russia?from=most_read&most_read=1371837&most_read_ref=%2Fopinion%2F1260853-on-target-no-simple-solutions-in-ukraine-iraq-crises
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NATO to disband next year
1 April 2014
Shocked by the clinical efficiency with which Crimea rejoined Russia, the United States is planning to disband NATO and transfer control of its bases in Europe to a new military command directly under the Pentagon’s thumb.
NATO looked menacing in its heyday. Drawing by Sergei Yolkin
NATO constitutes a system of collective defence in Europe whereby its member states agree to mutual defence in response to an attack by any external party. “Most of the senior European member states were lukewarm to a strong and united response to Moscow,” General Varkrimnelle said. “If they are not interested in mobilising against Russian threats, then there’s no point in us sticking around. At least if the Pentagon is not weighed down by our European allies it would be able to take a stand when it matters.”
Others were more forthright. “Look we can’t fight Russia or China, it’s simply out of the question,” said General Barry McKilla, the former Vice Chief of Staff of the US Air Force. “At the same time there are hardly any small countries left for NATO to bomb.”
According to General McKilla, all the anti-American dictators are long gone. “Sure Kim Jong-un is still around and occasionally he threatens the West, but the North Koreans have nuclear weapons, so we can't flatten Kim like we did Muammar Gaddafi and Saddam Hussein,” he said.
NATO’s military command will be transferred out of Brussels, the current headquarters, to a destination in North America. Canada will continue to be part of the new organization and NATO insiders say Mexico could be invited. “That will paint the entire continent a uniform shade of blue, providing some relief to the American right that is currently traumatised by the US military’s impotence against Russia,” said Robert Krauthammer, Director, Whitesuper Foundation, Mississippi.
Most Canadian and many US members of the military are already grumbling at Mexico’s inclusion. Spanish will most likely be an official language of the new alliance. “I don’t want to learn Spanish, with its inverted question marks at the beginning of a sentence, in addition to my normal quota of compulsory studies,” said Corporal Max Thickhead at the US Air Force’s Pensacola Air Base. “I was half-way through my German class when I received the news that NATO is shipping out of Europe. It is the devil’s tongue, so difficult, and now Spanish.”
However, language studies are the least of NATO’s problems. Several East European member states are unhappy with the alliance’s exit and have threatened to lay siege to the NATO Secretariat in Brussels. “There’s no way we’ll allow the Americans to leave us to the mercy of the Russian bear,” said Estonian President Jan Schutzstaffel.
Estonia is a key destination for renditions and interrogation of suspected terrorists apprehended by the US law enforcement agencies around the world. “We are very useful to America,” said Schutzstaffel, as he left to inaugurate the annual festivities marking the Nazi ‘liberation’ of his country in 1941.
Related:
Putin calls for continuing Russia-NATO helicopter project in Afghanistan
FM: NATO’s decision to suspend cooperation with Russia contradicts common sense
Russia disappointed with results of Russian-NATO Council meeting
Cooperation with NATO on Afghanistan not essential for CSTO
Across the American defence establishment, there was an inevitable sense of déjà vu. Many blamed President Barrack Obama’s policies for the state of drift. At a meeting of the US Central Command, when General Varkrimnelle said that after Obama’s presidency was over, Syria would be back on the table, his counterpart in the British Army became aggressive, saying, "What harm has Syria done to the UK? I don't want to jeapordise my retirement plans in the Bahamas over Assad.”
General Varkrimnelle remained unfazed and was extremely critical of Russia, saying that President Vladimir Putin had strayed from the script that had been followed for the past 20 years. "We were looking forward to landing our Ospreys in Crimea. But Putin just kicked us in the guts, I hate him," he said.
Meanwhile in Moscow, a Kremlin insider said President Putin was mulling retirement now that the premier threat to Russia was leaving the continent. “There are many tigers to tranquilise and migratory birds to help, but all this geopolitical work is getting in the President’s way,” he said.
In New Delhi, asked for his opinion about this strategic development, Rahul Gandhi, the leader of the Congress Party, said, “Actually, NATO’s exit will only have any meaning if there’s women’s empowerment.”
And if you are still here and believe everything in this story, I have some prime real estate for sale in Antarctica.
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